The Miami Heat are 1.5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals against the Boston Celtics at FTX Arena on Tuesday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on TNT. The Heat hold a 3-0 lead in the series. The over/under for the matchup is set at 216.5.

Heat vs. Celtics Odds & Info

  • When: Tuesday, May 23, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
  • TV: TNT
Favorite Spread Over/Under
Heat -1.5 216.5

Check out the latest NBA odds and place your bets on this matchup with BetMGM Sportsbook.

Heat Betting Records & Stats

  • Miami and its opponents have scored more than 216.5 points in 47 of 82 games this season.
  • The average point total in Miami's games this year is 219.3, 2.8 more than this matchup's over/under.
  • So far this season, the Heat have compiled a 30-52-0 record against the spread.
  • Miami has been the favorite in 56 games this season and won 35 (62.5%) of those contests.
  • This season, Miami has won 33 of its 54 games, or 61.1%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Heat.

Celtics Betting Records & Stats

  • Boston has combined with its opponent to score more than 216.5 points in 62 of 82 games this season.
  • Boston's average game total this season has been 229.4, 12.9 more points than this matchup's over/under.
  • Boston is 45-37-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Celtics have been chosen as underdogs in eight games this year and have walked away with the win four times (50%) in those games.
  • Boston has a record of 3-4 when it is set as the underdog by +100 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Boston has a 50% chance of pulling out a win.

Heat vs Celtics Additional Info

Heat vs. Celtics Over/Under Stats (Regular Season)

Games Over 216.5 % of Games Over 216.5 Average PPG Combined Average PPG Average Opponent PPG Combined Average Opponent PPG Average Total
Heat 47 57.3% 109.5 227.4 109.8 221.2 219.6
Celtics 62 75.6% 117.9 227.4 111.4 221.2 227.8

Additional Heat Insights & Trends

  • The Heat are 8-2 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 games.
  • The Heat have hit the over in seven of their last 10 outings.
  • Miami has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (16-25-0) than it has at home (14-27-0).
  • The Heat score only 1.9 fewer points per game (109.5) than the Celtics give up (111.4).
  • Miami has a 17-17 record against the spread and a 26-8 record overall when putting up more than 111.4 points.

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Additional Celtics Insights & Trends

  • Boston has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall in its last 10 contests.
  • Seven of the Celtics' past 10 games have gone over the total.
  • This season, Boston is 23-18-0 at home against the spread (.561 winning percentage). Away, it is 22-19-0 ATS (.537).
  • The Celtics put up 8.1 more points per game (117.9) than the Heat allow (109.8).
  • Boston has put together a 40-21 ATS record and a 49-12 overall record in games it scores more than 109.8 points.

Heat vs. Celtics Betting Splits

Heat and Celtics Betting Information
ATS Record ATS Record Against 1.5+ Point Spread Over/Under Record (O-U-P)
Heat 30-52 19-39 41-41
Celtics 45-37 7-1 43-39

Heat vs. Celtics Point Insights

Heat Celtics
109.5
Points Scored (PG)
 117.9
30
NBA Rank (PPG)
 4
17-17
ATS Record Scoring AVG+
 40-21
26-8
Overall Record Scoring AVG+
 49-12
109.8
Points Allowed (PG)
 111.4
2
NBA Rank (PAPG)
 4
26-39
ATS Record Allowing < AVG
 28-8
39-26
Overall Record Allowing < AVG
 31-5

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