2:45 p.m. UPDATE FROM THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER:
The moderate risk has been downgraded to a high-end slight risk. This means that the atmospheric conditions are not as favorable for a dense, widespread area of severe weather. This doesn't mean we're off the hook, however; Tornadoes and damaging winds will still be a concern through the evening hours across the Tri-state.
Here is an updated timeline for the arrival of severe weather across the Tri-State this afternoon:
The latest radar trend shows the line is moving east at 25 mph, with cells within the line racing northeast at 50-60 mph. While a few severe storms may pop up ahead of the main squall line, the main widespread damaging wind threat will arrive with the line itself.
Here is a discussion of the tornado threat this afternoon that was just issued by the Storm Prediction Center. The atmosphere is primed for strong tornadoes in any supercells that manage to break free of the main line. Again, these will be removed from the main line, while imbedded tornadoes will likely spin up within the squall line itself.
Here is a chart showing our elevated risk for tornadoes this afternoon and evening.
Again, be sure to stay tuned to 14News and the blog for weather updates all afternoon. Remember that we are live streaming our coverage, so you can watch us on your phone or iPad from your safe spot. Have a plan and be prepared to take action when the warnings are issued.
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