After an active Tuesday with numerous reports of pea to golf ball sized hail, there's a small chance for isolated strong thunderstorms tonight.
Most of us will not see storms tonight, but that will change on Thursday as a widespread severe weather outbreak is possible in the region.
A strong cold front is winding up to our west and will move through on Thursday night. The eastern half of the tri-state is under a Slight Risk for severe weather on Thursday, with the western half under a Moderate Risk.
Here are all the ingredients that could lead to that severe weather outbreak:
- Plenty of moist, humid air streaming in from the south
- A jet streak, which is an area of enhanced winds in the jet stream, expected overhead as the front moves through
- Winds veering with height, which leads to a twist in the atmosphere. This enhances the chance for tornadoes
- Lastly, we have a strong cold front which will provide the lift to create a squall line with the front
We are in a STAY ALERT stage for severe weather tonight, and particularly Thursday for severe weather. Have a plan on how you'll get the warnings and where you'll go when they are issued.